
BJ Upton’s five-year, $75.25 million deal signed this past week was yet another reminder of why the Indians can’t afford nice things. The amazing thing about the current state of Major League Baseball is that $15 million per season is market value for Upton. Yes, BJ Upton, off a season in which he batted .246 with an on-base percentage below .300, got a long-term deal worth over $15 million per season and, yet, it’s perfectly justifiable. If you want to understand why baseball economics are so flawed, this deal is a pretty good starting point.
As I said, that is market value for Upton. It’s not really up to me to decide if this deal is right or wrong, but that’s the going rate for a player of Upton’s skill set and value. He has stolen 30 or more bases each of the last four seasons. In spite of a batting average hovering in the .240s, Upton has posted an average OBP of .316 over the last four seasons. Not an elite figure by any means, but considering his batting average, a nice achievement. His power numbers have increased each of the last four years and he is a solid defensive player, in spite of a less than stellar 2012 season defensively.
That would make Upton the Indians highest paid player by around $7M (estimated arbitration award for Shin-Soo Choo is just shy of $8M). If this doesn’t explain why it’s really hard to win in baseball without abundant financial resources, I’m not sure what will. This is not an indictment on the Atlanta Braves, who opted for Upton instead of Michael Bourn, who may be more valuable at a similar price. It’s an indictment of the system as a whole – a system that sets small market teams up for failure.
Every offseason, we, as Indians fans, are stuck watching the developments around us and getting more and more depressed about our chances of being any kind of consistent contender. Another one of those dreadful periods in Indians fandom will likely happen next week as the Winter Meetings take place in Nashville, TN from December 3-6. Representatives of all 30 MLB teams convene to discuss pertinent issues with Major League Baseball, or so they say. It’s probably just a lot of Maker’s Mark drinking and bullshitting about baseball, while talking trades and taking jabs at each other. AKA, I’d love to be there.
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