bookelly wrote:Bourne has an offensive WAR of 6.4 and a defensive WAR at 3. Swisher was a 3.5 WAR last year. We paid Swisher $56 Mil for 4 years to get us 14 wins over that span.
Now Bourne is looking for around $15 Mil per year for 3-4 years. Surely adding 9 wins a year is worth it no? Seems like a bargin to me especially in light of the Swisher contract. Plus you get a pure lead-off guy, and you solve your DH problem to boot.
9.4 wins in this division makes you a playoff team period. Right now we are looking at 79-83 wins...with Bourne you're looking at 86-92 wins. Surely the revenue garnered from being a contender and a playoff team is higher than $15 Million dollars!
And yeah...I know he's not coming here, but I could make a damn good case that Dolan (who just pocketed $300 Mil) should give this team and city what it deserves, a true contender.
While I don't disagree that Bourn would help, just want to point out that Bourn's oWAR was 3.2 last year, not 6.4. His
total WAR was 6 at B-Ref, 6.4 at Fangraphs. That includes, as you said, a dWAR of 3 from B-Ref. Fangraphs doesn't separate the two, that I've seen, but Bourn is listed as having saved 22.4 runs defensively above an average player.
B-R and Fangraphs have some big differences in his value for the other seasons, though I'm inclined to go more with Fangraphs's numbers, as they seem to value defense and baserunning more than B-R does and that's a big bulk of Bourn's value. The spike in home runs really helped his offensive value, specifically his ISO, since he set career highs in ISO and SLG%.
I don't know why I'm spending more time looking at Bourn than I need to since it's never going to happen.
Teams are clearly worried about him as a hitter. He strikes out a fair amount to have little home run power. He has decent gap power and turns doubles into triples, along with the ability to turn singles into doubles, but there are reasons outside of Scott Boras why he's still on the market with pitchers and catchers reporting next week.
A God Damn dead man would understand that if a minor league bus in any city took a real sharp right turn, a Zack McCalister would likely fall out. - Lead Pipe