Moderators: peeker643, swerb, pup, paulcousineau
by peeker643 » Mon May 21, 2012 11:48 am
by jb » Mon May 21, 2012 11:52 am
by gotribe31 » Mon May 21, 2012 11:59 am

by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:02 pm
by peeker643 » Mon May 21, 2012 12:07 pm
by peeker643 » Mon May 21, 2012 12:10 pm
by GodHatesClevelandSport » Mon May 21, 2012 12:11 pm
by gotribe31 » Mon May 21, 2012 12:18 pm

by Govbarney » Mon May 21, 2012 12:19 pm
by peeker643 » Mon May 21, 2012 12:26 pm
Govbarney wrote:The population is there (the region is 16th in the nation). I have to believe eventually the economy will recover, and the TV ratings show interest in the team hasn't waned.
With Cleveland and its fans its a psychological. The city suffers from a combination of PTSD and Battered wife syndrome. Its a fan base of people afraid to love again , because they are tired of getting burned. Unfortunately I think the only way to get the fan base in this city reignited is to do something that has not done in 48 years. It doesn't even have to be the Tribe winning it all , I think if any of the Big 3 pulled off the impossible the spill over joy would be enough to effect the attendance of the other 2 teams. Over night the psych of the city would change, we would go from losers to winners, pessimists to optimists. Anything would be possible again.
by Bigfist » Mon May 21, 2012 12:38 pm
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:39 pm
peeker643 wrote:Good points. Wondering if Title of thread would be better served as "Is Cleveland Still a 3-Team Town"??
Does it matter? If you get rid of the Cavs do the Indians draw any more? I think we have a reasonable answer to that questions if it's the Browns who are gone.
Are the Cavs healthier if the Indians move?
Do they Cavs make a difference to the Indians at all? Nominal amount?
by aclayman » Mon May 21, 2012 12:40 pm
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:42 pm
gotribe31 wrote:I think the biggest issue is the lack of die-hard baseball fans. Clearly, there are plenty of football fans who will go to Browns games, buy Browns gear etc no matter how shitty the team has been for however long. I'm one of those people, so I understand the mentality. But there aren't as many baseball fans who will do the same. Why is a playoff team a pre-requisite for going to a baseball game? I'm hardly endorsing mediocrity (or worse), but do the Indians HAVE to be in 1st place for you to enjoy a summer evening at the ballpark? I like to watch baseball. I like the Indians. I'll go watch Indians baseball even if they're in last place. Would I prefer them to be in 1st place and on their way to the ALCS? Of course. But everytime I'm home in Cleveland and the Indians are in town, I'm at at least one game regardless of the standings. I'm jealous of everyone that lives close enough to the stadium to go more often.
Like Swerb pointed out in another thread, you can get a bleacher ticket, parking, a hot dog and a beer for cheaper than a ticket in the upper dawg pound for a Browns game. Price point isn't the issue here, at least I don't think it is. People who swear they won't give Larry Dolan their money but line up to hand it over to Randy Lerner confuse me.
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:44 pm
aclayman wrote:The whole argument that Cleveland is "Browns Town" is obviously true to some extent. But comparing fan attendance at Browns games vs. Indians games is somewhat ridiculous. We're talking 8 games versus 81. If you pony up for a Browns game, you're paying for 12.5% of the team's entire home schedule. Indians... 1.2%. Individual midseason baseball games just don't carry as much weight on any level. Why go to a Wednesday night game in May against Seattle when you can just wait for Saturday? With the Browns, the opponent barely matters. You go because it's the only thing happening all week in mid November. I just think it's an apples and oranges situation. Cleveland fans are equally cynical about all their teams.
And don't overlook the fact that thousands of hardcore Cleveland sports fans had to leave Northeast Ohio to find better job prospects. So the fan base has become more spread out, further hurting attendance.
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:52 pm
When we include all of these factors together to predict annual attendance in MLB, we find that the stadium has the strongest effect, followed by star players, and then the winning percentage in the current season. Last season’s performance also has an influence on this year’s attendance. Statistical analysis shows that the order of the size of the effect on predicting attendance is as follows:
1.Stadium quality
2.Star players
3.Current season’s winning percentage
4.Last season’s winning percentage
5.Population-related factors (SMA population, number of MLB and other professional franchises)
6.Ticket and concession prices
7.The economy (per capita income)
Taken together, putting together a string of winning seasons should increase attendance. The problem is that compared to investing in the stadium and star players, winning is uncontrollable. Of course, signing star players may help winning, but that’s also hard to predict. From a marketer’s perspective, you are better off promoting what you can control and deliver—and winning is not one of them.
The economy. For all the hand-wringing about the effects of the economy, we find that lower per capita income levels across MLB cities affect attendance, but much less so than the other factors we’ve discussed. In the end, the fan’s objection is not so much to price, but to the value offered by the team in terms of the stadium experience, the players on the team, and the performance on the field.
by aclayman » Mon May 21, 2012 12:53 pm
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 12:57 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 12:58 pm

by aclayman » Mon May 21, 2012 12:58 pm
by Govbarney » Mon May 21, 2012 12:59 pm
peeker643 wrote:The PTSD issue doesn't seem to apply to the Browns though. Yes, there are more empty seats and there is frustration, but I have reasonable friends whose Browns cycle is now officially clicked into hopeful again despite the same shit going on for over a decade.
Is football simply that big a King that it truly doesn't matter what they do on the field. Was the prodigal son returning home a 25 year blank check to make sure they never left again even though they're basically Damien from The Omen in your house (city)?
Not arguing w/you. Much of it's true. But it doesn't account for the Browns.
I need to write a column on this at lunch.Govbarney wrote:The population is there (the region is 16th in the nation). I have to believe eventually the economy will recover, and the TV ratings show interest in the team hasn't waned.
With Cleveland and its fans its a psychological. The city suffers from a combination of PTSD and Battered wife syndrome. Its a fan base of people afraid to love again , because they are tired of getting burned. Unfortunately I think the only way to get the fan base in this city reignited is to do something that has not done in 48 years. It doesn't even have to be the Tribe winning it all , I think if any of the Big 3 pulled off the impossible the spill over joy would be enough to effect the attendance of the other 2 teams. Over night the psych of the city would change, we would go from losers to winners, pessimists to optimists. Anything would be possible again.
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:00 pm
aclayman wrote:I think we'll end up right there with KC and Oakland, etc, by late summer (attendance wise). But yeah, essentially the same way we had a perfect storm in 1995 (new stadium, great lineup, rock hall of fame, etc), we've had the perfect storm of shittiness in the last couple years: Indians trading 2 Cy Youngs, Browns being a total embarrassment, and LeBron's exit serving as the final straw. If having the hometown kid / best basketball player on earth wasn't enough to end the misery, why have faith in anything? Basically, Cleveland sports needs a better marketing department. The whole "What If" thing relying on nostalgia for the '90s has everything ass backwards.

by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 1:01 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:The problem between Cavs/Indians/Browns is far less individual people choosing one of the other and far more corporate money/suits/seats. That is where the trade-off comes in. In the mid 1990's the tribe had EVERY company in town owning a lot of Jakobs field seats.
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:02 pm
aclayman wrote:That "business of sports" thing is pretty similar to the Fairweather Fan metric thing i wrote last week, which went into admittedly ridiculous detail, but basically covered the same categories: except i with "age of ballpark" and "team payroll" instead of "star players." But the basic result was that only the Braves and Rays draw shittier-vs-expectations than Cleveland right now.

by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 1:04 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:aclayman wrote:I think we'll end up right there with KC and Oakland, etc, by late summer (attendance wise). But yeah, essentially the same way we had a perfect storm in 1995 (new stadium, great lineup, rock hall of fame, etc), we've had the perfect storm of shittiness in the last couple years: Indians trading 2 Cy Youngs, Browns being a total embarrassment, and LeBron's exit serving as the final straw. If having the hometown kid / best basketball player on earth wasn't enough to end the misery, why have faith in anything? Basically, Cleveland sports needs a better marketing department. The whole "What If" thing relying on nostalgia for the '90s has everything ass backwards.
Well, the fact that the fans went nuts and there was a tangible post Jim Thome attendance boost is kind of counter-intuitive to what you are saying here.
by The Score » Mon May 21, 2012 1:07 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:09 pm

by Madre Hill, Superstar » Mon May 21, 2012 1:16 pm

by jb » Mon May 21, 2012 1:18 pm
gotribe31 wrote:I think the biggest issue is the lack of die-hard baseball fans.
People who swear they won't give Larry Dolan their money but line up to hand it over to Randy Lerner confuse me.
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:20 pm

by Erie Warrior » Mon May 21, 2012 1:21 pm
motherscratcher wrote:I wonder if Dolan would sell before considering a move.


by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:23 pm

by Erie Warrior » Mon May 21, 2012 1:28 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:Who said they expect sell-outs?
Perez cited record setting bad attendance, he never demanded that every seat be filled.
And 15K in May means good luck adding salary at the trade deadline.


by mattvan1 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:31 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:The problem between Cavs/Indians/Browns is far less individual people choosing one of the other and far more corporate money/suits/seats. That is where the trade-off comes in. In the mid 1990's the tribe had EVERY company in town owning a lot of Jakobs field seats.
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 1:32 pm
The Score wrote:For me, the current economic structure of MLB isn't sustainable for a healthy overall sport. The Indians are on the bad side of the economic divide and because of that, they aren't a sustainable team long term.
by Bigfist » Mon May 21, 2012 1:34 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:More teams have won WS in the last decade than any other sports.
The Indians were one game away just five years ago.
WTF are you talking about with no hope. The baseball playoffs, more than any other sport, are consistently won by whatever team gets hot at the right time.
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:38 pm

by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:39 pm

by Erie Warrior » Mon May 21, 2012 1:42 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:
And we all know the Indians would have ran through the WS just like the Sox.


by gotribe31 » Mon May 21, 2012 1:57 pm
jb wrote:gotribe31 wrote:I think the biggest issue is the lack of die-hard baseball fans.
People who swear they won't give Larry Dolan their money but line up to hand it over to Randy Lerner confuse me.
Two points here Al.
In my community literally hundreds of boys and girls play T Ball through Pony BB and SB. This is in NE Ohio and kids here are BB crazy. But when was the last time MLB televised a LCS or WS game that ended the same day it began? How in the hell can you cultivate an audience that way?
And as far as the Dolans vs Randolph Mortimer?
I wouldn't necesarily hold up the Browns as the paragon of fan passion or attendance success the past 2 seasons.
But having noted that, a fan can hope through stupid. A fan can't hope through under-resourced and a system that makes it next to impossible to truly contend with no room for any margin of error for a home team to compete for a title. Stupid can always potentialy fix itself given enouugh time and treasure. Monekeys. war & Peace. Typrewiter. That sort of thing.
Systemic failure is deadly to hope.
That and let's face it, as whiney/bully and on the take as Holmgren seems to be, heckert is infinately more liekable than the schmarmey self-satisfied shams that are Shapiro and Antonetti and all their busted draft picks, all while they pat themselves on the back.

by jb » Mon May 21, 2012 1:58 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:More teams have won WS in the last decade than any other sports.
by The Score » Mon May 21, 2012 2:03 pm
motherscratcher wrote:The Score wrote:For me, the current economic structure of MLB isn't sustainable for a healthy overall sport. The Indians are on the bad side of the economic divide and because of that, they aren't a sustainable team long term.
I disagree
We've been saying that for 15 years now, and the owners just keep making more and more money, and the franchises just keep getting more and more valuable.
by jb » Mon May 21, 2012 2:04 pm
gotribe31 wrote:jb wrote:gotribe31 wrote:I think the biggest issue is the lack of die-hard baseball fans.
People who swear they won't give Larry Dolan their money but line up to hand it over to Randy Lerner confuse me.
Two points here Al.
In my community literally hundreds of boys and girls play T Ball through Pony BB and SB. This is in NE Ohio and kids here are BB crazy. But when was the last time MLB televised a LCS or WS game that ended the same day it began? How in the hell can you cultivate an audience that way?
And as far as the Dolans vs Randolph Mortimer?
I wouldn't necesarily hold up the Browns as the paragon of fan passion or attendance success the past 2 seasons.
But having noted that, a fan can hope through stupid. A fan can't hope through under-resourced and a system that makes it next to impossible to truly contend with no room for any margin of error for a home team to compete for a title. Stupid can always potentialy fix itself given enouugh time and treasure. Monekeys. war & Peace. Typrewiter. That sort of thing.
Systemic failure is deadly to hope.
That and let's face it, as whiney/bully and on the take as Holmgren seems to be, heckert is infinately more liekable than the schmarmey self-satisfied shams that are Shapiro and Antonetti and all their busted draft picks, all while they pat themselves on the back.
I hear what you're saying on your first two points. I hate that the World Series starts/ends so late, and I guess I can see that as an overarching factor. I get that the salary cap system makes it more likely that the comically mismanaged Browns have a better chance of a quick turnaround than the Indians when the Indians are terrible...but the Indians aren't terrible, and weren't last year. They weren't (and probably still aren't) a playoff team, but they aren't the MLB equivalent of 4-12 either.
I will never for the life of me understand the hatred for Shapiro and this front office, and I really don't get what you mean when you refer to them patting themselves on the back. The team has come up short on the ultimate goal of winning a world series, but I don't see them as having a bottom-10 front office in baseball, far from it. The drafts have been below-average up through 2010, and I keep hearing about that. One look at the Browns draft record tells me that the Indians are hardly the only team in town to draft poorly. Shapiro has hit on more trades than he's missed on overall, and done a pretty decent job with the resources at his disposal. And as far as the "patting themselves on the back" goes, what are they supposed to do, run around like chicken little and scream that the sky is falling? e0 is right when he says the Indians are the best run organization in town. Just because Shapiro isn't a former major league player doesn't make him a bad front office guy. Not everything he touches turns to gold, but he inherited a barren farm system from everyone's hero John Hart and did a pretty good job with a team that was facing a completely different financial environment than the ones that Hart ran so well in the mid-90's.
by motherscratcher » Mon May 21, 2012 2:04 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:More teams have won WS in the last decade than any other sports.
The Indians were one game away just five years ago.
WTF are you talking about with no hope. The baseball playoffs, more than any other sport, are consistently won by whatever team gets hot at the right time.
by peeker643 » Mon May 21, 2012 2:07 pm
by jb » Mon May 21, 2012 2:10 pm
peeker643 wrote:I wrote something to hopefully generate some discussion somewhere. A lot of it was focused on corporate issues. e0y2e3 and I had the Milwaukee vs. Cleveland discussion yesterday. Milwaukee is loaded with large and mid size companies that support those teams and buy those suites.
Shrinking population here. Fewer businesses. Fewer corporate sponsors.
The more I think about it the more it's the Bermuda Triangle of sports towns right now.
Can someone outlast it and help/hope for a comeback? I don't know.
As I said, ain't no shame in being Buffalo.
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 2:22 pm

by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 2:25 pm

by pup » Mon May 21, 2012 2:35 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon May 21, 2012 2:36 pm

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