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First three go to offense......your ball.

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First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:18 am

Well Holmgren threw me through a bit of a loop yesterday by saying he’d discourage a trade down and probably use the first three picks on offense, and with the signing of Patterson for starting CB money and the talk of Brown moving to safety to replace the departed Adams, there isn’t much reason not to believe him.

So I started thinking about packages of offensive players added to this team if you spent the first three picks on offense or 2 of the first 3 on offense.

Throw out the whole idea of draft slots and what is "too high" to take a position and ask yourself - What is the best package of players that the Browns could end up with using those picks on offense? I've used a few solid mocks to make these groups with who is likely to be available in these spots:

Choose one:
QB Tennehill
WR Blackmon
WR Floyd
RB Richardson
OT Reiff

Choose one:
WR Hill
WR Wright
RB Miller
RB Wilson
OT Adams
QB Weeden

Choose one
WR Jeffrey
OT Sanders
RB Miller
QB Weeden

Whats the best package here given the Browns needs and skill of the players?
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby peeker643 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:32 am

If you went:

Blackmon
Miller
Weeden


or

Richardson
K Wright
Reiff ( I don't anything to do with Adams ;-) ;) :wink: )

Would that be well-received?
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby Hikohadon » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:34 am

Blackmon, Some OL not on that list, Miller.

I also wouldn't mind Richardson, Hill, and some OL not on that list.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby noles1 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:37 am

I don't believe Holmgren. Think he is in full damage control with the media right now.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby Hikohadon » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:39 am

noles1 wrote:I don't believe Holmgren. Think he is in full damage control with the media right now.


I don't either, but if they did go O on the first 3, which 3 would you take?
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:39 am

peeker643 wrote:If you went:

Blackmon
Miller
Weeden


or

Richardson
K Wright
Reiff ( I don't anything to do with Adams ;-) ;) :wink: )

Would that be well-received?


Reiff is going in the top 10.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:40 am

noles1 wrote:I don't believe Holmgren. Think he is in full damage control with the media right now.


IMO, at the min people should believe that we are not taking Claiborne with that #4 pick.

He said they would probably go offense with those first three, and I'd be willing to bet that when the dust clears we will see an offensive player at #4, and one of 22 or 37 also going to an offensive player.
Last edited by JCoz on Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:46 am

Hikohadon wrote:Blackmon, Some OL not on that list, Miller.

I also wouldn't mind Richardson, Hill, and some OL not on that list.


There really are not many other lineman at those spots.

22 - OT Martin and G Degastro will be gone, G Glenn and C Kontz possible

37 - G Zetler and G Osemele

Thats it. So go ahead a grab a name out that hat. We can't pretend that there is more available than there is. IMO "some other lineman not on that list" sounds better than whats actually there to choose. Put a name to it.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby noles1 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:54 am

Hikohadon wrote:
noles1 wrote:I don't believe Holmgren. Think he is in full damage control with the media right now.


I don't either, but if they did go O on the first 3, which 3 would you take?


Richardson
Floyd
Zerbie Sanders

Note, this was painful. Particularly at #4 and #37 for me. And I doubt that Floyd is even there at #22 anyway.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby Hikohadon » Fri Mar 16, 2012 10:59 am

JCoz wrote:
Hikohadon wrote:Blackmon, Some OL not on that list, Miller.

I also wouldn't mind Richardson, Hill, and some OL not on that list.


There really are not many other lineman at those spots.

22 - OT Martin and G Degastro will be gone, G Glenn and C Kontz possible

37 - G Zetler and G Osemele

Thats it. So go ahead a grab a name out that hat. We can't pretend that there is more available than there is. IMO "some other lineman not on that list" sounds better than whats actually there to choose. Put a name to it.


I have no problem saying that I don't know the OL prospects well enough to even venture a guess. I just know that Adams is not a guy I want in the 1st.

By the late 1st and 2nd rounds, there are always people that fall and always people that get picked way ahead of where the "experts" think they should go. There might very well be someone available that you didn't think would be, or the Browns might take someone that was supposed to go later.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:04 am

I agree Hiko, but the mocks are pretty damned accurate over the first 2 rounds. The order can change, but the group of players selected is probably going to match the group listed in the mock drafts (assuming you pick a decent one) fairly accuratly.

I'd say its probably in the range of 58 of 64.

And with the Browns last pick in this exercise being a 37, taking every OL in the first 64 picks of a mock is probably going to be pretty much on point.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:05 am

BTW I agree completely on Adams..the more time that passes and what he did at the combine...I mean the guy is who he is. He's probably not going to change.

I mean his habits have been the same going back to high school when he was being recruited.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby Hikohadon » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:13 am

I'd say that most mock drafts are accurate for about the Top 10, then fall all apart due to trades and wildcard picks. But, yeah, by the late first they're usually still accurate plus/minus 15 spots.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby pup » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:20 am

Reiff
OG from Georgia
Miller
Home Run Leaders as RHB 5/7/13

Mark Reynolds (10)
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby andrew6586 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:38 am

Richardson, Hill Sanders. Championship.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby noles1 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:38 am

I think Jax to #4 is a possibility as they look to add Blackmon to a pathetic WR corp.

Then at #7 maybe Tanny makes more sense, even think that's a reach but I look at what plays out between Miami and Seattle and the loser looking to go get Tanny. If we want him, we just have to be in front of them. Personally I'm not sure I like Tanny but I hope they think about the idea of moving back and adding picks if they can.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:44 am

Hikohadon wrote:I'd say that most mock drafts are accurate for about the Top 10, then fall all apart due to trades and wildcard picks. But, yeah, by the late first they're usually still accurate plus/minus 15 spots.


Right but you are talking about exact slots, I'm saying that its probably 90% accurate on what group of players is selected in the first 2 rounds.

So for our purposes, we pretty much know the group of linemen that are going to be selected in the first 2 rounds.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby JCoz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:46 am

How about throwing the curveball in there that Tate can be had for the 37....who here takes any of those runningbacks over Tate for the 37?
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby Hikohadon » Fri Mar 16, 2012 12:21 pm

JCoz wrote:How about throwing the curveball in there that Tate can be had for the 37....who here takes any of those runningbacks over Tate for the 37?


I'd take Tate, but make sure you make that trade before draft day so you know it's safe to skip Richardson.
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Re: First three go to offense......your ball.

Unread postby SoulDawg74 » Fri Mar 16, 2012 1:14 pm

noles1 wrote:I don't believe Holmgren. Think he is in full damage control with the media right now.



SD:

Holmgren is done like Burnt toast without a QB ..

There are none out there as a result of him fuckin up , so he cries like a bitch about how Washington screwed him with his panties on and blames all his incompetence on those mean old Redskins .

Lerner should kick his fat ass to the curb , instruct heckert to overpay for Flynn and identify a QB list in these next two drafts capable of starting in the next 24 months with a plan to execute on them in this draft or the next .

He can get another czar of operations for a fuck of lot less than $50 million , and actually get some work done.

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