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by Triple-S » Mon Feb 27, 2012 5:22 pm
Swerb wrote:Go start a blog if you want to tell the world your incomprehendible ramblings.
Cerebral_DownTime wrote:I have a big arm and can throw the ball pretty damn far...... maybe even over those moutains. The Browns should sign me, i'll let you all in locker room to drink beer. Then we can all go out the parking lot to watch me do motorcycle stunts.

by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:29 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:31 pm

by e0y2e3 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:32 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Sure, there's some business sense in doing whatever it takes to get the flashy prospect all the fans want. You create some excitement that way.
You know what else makes business sense? Continuing to add good football players to your roster and putting together a good football team.

by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:40 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:43 pm
HoodooMan wrote:But you're not trading four(+) draft picks for a Top 10 QB; you're trading four(+) draft picks for a QB prospect.
Going with the Blackmon/Glenn/Wilson trio again, it would make just as little sense for me to ask whether you agree that a pro-bowl WR, pro-bowl OG/OT, and pro-bowl RB are worth more than a single draft pick.

by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:52 pm
HoodooMan wrote:But you're not trading four(+) draft picks for a Top 10 QB; you're trading four(+) draft picks for a QB prospect.
Going with the Blackmon/Glenn/Wilson trio again, it would make just as little sense for me to ask whether you agree that a pro-bowl WR, pro-bowl OG/OT, and pro-bowl RB are worth more than a single draft pick.
by Triple-S » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:54 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:Does anyone know if Manningham grew up a Browns or Steelers fan?
Not that it makes a huge difference, but if the team you grew up rooting for is the Browns and they offer you the most money it may take away some of the "I don't want to play for that shit and orange mess" stigma.
Swerb wrote:Go start a blog if you want to tell the world your incomprehendible ramblings.
Cerebral_DownTime wrote:I have a big arm and can throw the ball pretty damn far...... maybe even over those moutains. The Browns should sign me, i'll let you all in locker room to drink beer. Then we can all go out the parking lot to watch me do motorcycle stunts.

by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:55 pm
e0y2e3 wrote:The caveat of course is, the ceiling in terms of team impact of those three pro-bowlers isn't as high as owning a top ten QB.
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:02 pm
Hikohadon wrote:I've got Maurice Jones-Drew, Ben Grubbs, and Mike Wallace. I'll give you those 3 guys for Tom Brady. Game?
by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:04 pm
Triple-S wrote:e0y2e3 wrote:Does anyone know if Manningham grew up a Browns or Steelers fan?
Not that it makes a huge difference, but if the team you grew up rooting for is the Browns and they offer you the most money it may take away some of the "I don't want to play for that shit and orange mess" stigma.
I was just tossing that out as an example. I saw that he was asked about joining the Browns, and he had something to the effect of "0% chance". My assumption being that, the Browns are looked upon as a laughing stock around the league, and no good FA would waste his time there.
But, per what I heard from a classmate I had who played ball with him Warren he may have been a Steelers fan.
by peeker643 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:09 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Hikohadon wrote:I've got Maurice Jones-Drew, Ben Grubbs, and Mike Wallace. I'll give you those 3 guys for Tom Brady. Game?
Including a RB with 6 years of tread complicates the hypothetical. I'll just say that I'd rather add three 1st year future pro-bowl players at WR, OG, and RB than Tom Brady to the 2012 Cleveland Browns.
by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:09 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Hikohadon wrote:I've got Maurice Jones-Drew, Ben Grubbs, and Mike Wallace. I'll give you those 3 guys for Tom Brady. Game?
Including a RB with 6 years of tread complicates the hypothetical. I'll just say that I'd rather add three 1st year future pro-bowl players at WR, OG, and RB than Tom Brady to the 2012 Cleveland Browns.
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:13 pm
Hikohadon wrote:And if you're turning 11 years of Tom Brady down for three 1st year future pro-bowl players at WR, OG, and RB, then I think you're nuts.
peeker643 wrote:But the picks we're interested in keeping or saving are also 'prospects'.
by peeker643 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:19 pm
HoodooMan wrote:peeker643 wrote:But the picks we're interested in keeping or saving are also 'prospects'.
I thought I already addressed this above with:
"But that really isn't the issue. Odds are you'd be getting a mixed bag with those 3 players. You have a shot at three great players, but realistically you're happy with one very good to great player, one good player, and one mediocre player. But when you spread the risk out over three really good prospects, your odds of improving your roster are much higher than when you concentrate all that risk into a single prospect."
by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:32 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Hikohadon wrote:And if you're turning 11 years of Tom Brady down for three 1st year future pro-bowl players at WR, OG, and RB, then I think you're nuts.
I thought I already (effectively) addressed this above with:
"There is one and only one QB in the game today whose age/talent combo would exceed the value of a young pro-bowl WR/OL/RB trio, IMO. Aaron Rodgers."
(If it isn't clear, a young Brady = a young Rodgers, IMO)
by Triple-S » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:34 pm
Hikohadon wrote:He said in an interview before the SB that he was a Steelers fan. His dad was a Browns fan, but his aunt was a Steelers fan, and she won most of the bragging rights so he became a Steelers fan.
Typical bandwagon douchebag.
Swerb wrote:Go start a blog if you want to tell the world your incomprehendible ramblings.
Cerebral_DownTime wrote:I have a big arm and can throw the ball pretty damn far...... maybe even over those moutains. The Browns should sign me, i'll let you all in locker room to drink beer. Then we can all go out the parking lot to watch me do motorcycle stunts.

by Triple-S » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:43 pm
Swerb wrote:Go start a blog if you want to tell the world your incomprehendible ramblings.
Cerebral_DownTime wrote:I have a big arm and can throw the ball pretty damn far...... maybe even over those moutains. The Browns should sign me, i'll let you all in locker room to drink beer. Then we can all go out the parking lot to watch me do motorcycle stunts.

by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:47 pm
Hikohadon wrote:So we have the HooDoo equation correct, you're stating:
Young Pro Bowl QB (such as Brady or Rodgers) > Young Pro Bowl WR, RB, and OG.
Good. We're on the same page.
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:50 pm
Triple-S wrote:SportsCenter @SportsCenter Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
BREAKING NEWS: Rams will trade No. 2 overall pick, according to league sources (via ESPN NFL insider @AdamSchefter)
go fuck yourself dan snyder.
by Triple-S » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:51 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Triple-S wrote:SportsCenter @SportsCenter Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
BREAKING NEWS: Rams will trade No. 2 overall pick, according to league sources (via ESPN NFL insider @AdamSchefter)
go fuck yourself dan snyder.
Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Rams will trade No. 2 pick. Only question is where. Chargers once got two 1s, a 3 and a 5 for Eli Manning. Rams likely to get similar deal.
go fuck yourself Jeff Fisher?
Swerb wrote:Go start a blog if you want to tell the world your incomprehendible ramblings.
Cerebral_DownTime wrote:I have a big arm and can throw the ball pretty damn far...... maybe even over those moutains. The Browns should sign me, i'll let you all in locker room to drink beer. Then we can all go out the parking lot to watch me do motorcycle stunts.

by Fire Marshall Bill » Mon Feb 27, 2012 7:55 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Triple-S wrote:SportsCenter @SportsCenter Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
BREAKING NEWS: Rams will trade No. 2 overall pick, according to league sources (via ESPN NFL insider @AdamSchefter)
go fuck yourself dan snyder.
Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Rams will trade No. 2 pick. Only question is where. Chargers once got two 1s, a 3 and a 5 for Eli Manning. Rams likely to get similar deal.
go fuck yourself Jeff Fisher?
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:04 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Triple-S wrote:SportsCenter @SportsCenter Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
BREAKING NEWS: Rams will trade No. 2 overall pick, according to league sources (via ESPN NFL insider @AdamSchefter)
go fuck yourself dan snyder.
Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Rams will trade No. 2 pick. Only question is where. Chargers once got two 1s, a 3 and a 5 for Eli Manning. Rams likely to get similar deal.
go fuck yourself Jeff Fisher?
by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:06 pm
Fire Marshall Bill wrote:HoodooMan wrote:Triple-S wrote:SportsCenter @SportsCenter Reply Retweeted Favorite · Open
BREAKING NEWS: Rams will trade No. 2 overall pick, according to league sources (via ESPN NFL insider @AdamSchefter)
go fuck yourself dan snyder.
Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
Rams will trade No. 2 pick. Only question is where. Chargers once got two 1s, a 3 and a 5 for Eli Manning. Rams likely to get similar deal.
go fuck yourself Jeff Fisher?
I do that deal tonite before they'd change their mind
We get RG and keep the 2nd and 2 4ths
JFC, call 911 and get it done
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:07 pm
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:11 pm
HoodooMan wrote:I thought I already addressed this above with:
"But that really isn't the issue. Odds are you'd be getting a mixed bag with those 3 players. You have a shot at three great players, but realistically you're happy with one very good to great player, one good player, and one mediocre player. But when you spread the risk out over three really good prospects, your odds of improving your roster are much higher than when you concentrate all that risk into a single prospect."
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:31 pm
by e0y2e3 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:34 pm

by Hikohadon » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:35 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Schefter is probably full of shit on this getting done at an Eli price, I think.
Unless RG3 picks one team he wants to go to and diffuses any bidding war, that's not happening.
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:40 pm
JCoz wrote:HoodooMan wrote:I thought I already addressed this above with:
"But that really isn't the issue. Odds are you'd be getting a mixed bag with those 3 players. You have a shot at three great players, but realistically you're happy with one very good to great player, one good player, and one mediocre player. But when you spread the risk out over three really good prospects, your odds of improving your roster are much higher than when you concentrate all that risk into a single prospect."
That is one hell of a shaky argument.
Take three draft picks, get a Tackle, a RB and a WR, likely one is very good/great, one is good and one busts.
This is better than an Elite Quarterback Prospect?
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 8:49 pm
HoodooMan wrote:JCoz wrote:HoodooMan wrote:I thought I already addressed this above with:
"But that really isn't the issue. Odds are you'd be getting a mixed bag with those 3 players. You have a shot at three great players, but realistically you're happy with one very good to great player, one good player, and one mediocre player. But when you spread the risk out over three really good prospects, your odds of improving your roster are much higher than when you concentrate all that risk into a single prospect."
That is one hell of a shaky argument.
Take three draft picks, get a Tackle, a RB and a WR, likely one is very good/great, one is good and one busts.
This is better than an Elite Quarterback Prospect?
At the rate that elite QB prospects bust, absolutely.
Quantify the value of a franchise QB, reduce that by the % chance of actually getting that with a random top QB prospect, do the same for "franchise WR" + "elite OG" + "high 2nd round RB," and compare.
by e0y2e3 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:00 pm

by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:06 pm
by peeker643 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:12 pm
JCoz wrote:http://espn.go.com/nfl/draft2012/story/_/id/7622088/2012-nfl-draft-st-louis-rams-decide-trade-no-2-overall-pick-sources-say
Am I reading this wrong or did the Browns not interview RG3?
I would do this deal instantly if that's what they are looking for.
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:15 pm
by peeker643 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:17 pm
JCoz wrote:Again? Must have missed it the first time around, busy day.
by JCoz » Mon Feb 27, 2012 9:21 pm
peeker643 wrote:JCoz wrote:Again? Must have missed it the first time around, busy day.
Sorry- maybe it's in a different thread or whatever. He had a blockage cleared and wasn't at the Combine. They sent Shurmur (probably to develop his inadequate social skills and establish him as the psuedo-face of the org so Holmgren can relax a bit more) and no GM or upper management.
by SoulDawg74 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:00 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Sure, there's some business sense in doing whatever it takes to get the flashy prospect all the fans want. You create some excitement that way.
You know what else makes business sense? Continuing to add good football players to your roster and putting together a good football team.
by SoulDawg74 » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:07 pm
HoodooMan wrote:Hikohadon wrote:And if you're turning 11 years of Tom Brady down for three 1st year future pro-bowl players at WR, OG, and RB, then I think you're nuts.
I thought I already (effectively) addressed this above with:
"There is one and only one QB in the game today whose age/talent combo would exceed the value of a young pro-bowl WR/OL/RB trio, IMO. Aaron Rodgers."
(If it isn't clear, a young Brady = a young Rodgers, IMO)peeker643 wrote:But the picks we're interested in keeping or saving are also 'prospects'.
I thought I already addressed this above with:
"But that really isn't the issue. Odds are you'd be getting a mixed bag with those 3 players. You have a shot at three great players, but realistically you're happy with one very good to great player, one good player, and one mediocre player. But when you spread the risk out over three really good prospects, your odds of improving your roster are much higher than when you concentrate all that risk into a single prospect."
by swerb » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:14 pm
by rebelwithoutaclue » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:32 pm
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:38 pm
swerb wrote:It's really this simple. If you believe, as I do, that Luck and RG3 are two of the best QB prospects to enter the draft since Peyton Manning came into the league...
...You have two massively elite prospects with very low chances of becoming Ryan Leaf.
by rebelwithoutaclue » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:48 pm
HoodooMan wrote:swerb wrote:It's really this simple. If you believe, as I do, that Luck and RG3 are two of the best QB prospects to enter the draft since Peyton Manning came into the league...
...You have two massively elite prospects with very low chances of becoming Ryan Leaf.
That's either dishonest or deluded.
The hit rate for QBs taken with the first two overall picks has been pretty much right at 50% since Elway. You're lying to yourself if you pretend RG3 isn't the same coinflip chance at QB Goodness that his predecessors have been.
by HoodooMan » Mon Feb 27, 2012 11:52 pm
rebelwithoutaclue wrote:Using that logic you can say the same thing about Andrew Luck.
rebelwithoutaclue wrote:Edit: And what's the cutoff for the 50/50 pass/fail rate for QB's? 50% of each in 1 year? 2 years? A decade? 50 years?
rebelwithoutaclue wrote:What says that if Luck succeeds that RG3 has to fail?
by swerb » Tue Feb 28, 2012 12:10 am
HoodooMan wrote:swerb wrote:It's really this simple. If you believe, as I do, that Luck and RG3 are two of the best QB prospects to enter the draft since Peyton Manning came into the league...
...You have two massively elite prospects with very low chances of becoming Ryan Leaf.
That's either dishonest or deluded.
The hit rate for QBs taken with the first two overall picks has been pretty much right at 50% since Elway. You're lying to yourself if you pretend RG3 isn't the same coinflip chance at QB Goodness that his predecessors have been.
by HoodooMan » Tue Feb 28, 2012 12:14 am
by jerryroche » Tue Feb 28, 2012 12:59 am
by SoulDawg74 » Tue Feb 28, 2012 1:23 am
by jb » Tue Feb 28, 2012 10:29 am
e0y2e3 wrote:Does anyone know if Manningham grew up a Browns or Steelers fan?
Not that it makes a huge difference, but if the team you grew up rooting for is the Browns and they offer you the most money it may take away some of the "I don't want to play for that shit and orange mess" stigma.
by jb » Tue Feb 28, 2012 10:31 am
peeker643 wrote:JCoz wrote:Again? Must have missed it the first time around, busy day.
Sorry- maybe it's in a different thread or whatever. He had a blockage cleared and wasn't at the Combine. They sent Shurmur (probably to develop his inadequate social skills and establish him as the psuedo-face of the org so Holmgren can relax a bit more) and no GM or upper management.
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