swerb wrote:I got em as about a 30 win team. Over/under on games played for Antawn the next two years I got at about 90. Even if he stays healthy, he's seen his better days, has creaky knees, and plays absolutely no D. I don't know who they got that is gonna stop anyone on D besides Andy. Mo is a matador, and one of the most overrated players in the league. And we're talking about him as maybe our best player.
Lead's last post is dead nuts on the money. Sadly, there's little talent on this team outside of JJ and Andy, and LeBron made a lot of these players.
This is going to be a bad basketball team. End of story. 50 wins is absolute lunacy.
I don't disagree that this is going to be a bad defensive team. But, other than age, where are you getting evidence that Jamo is about to crap out? He did only play 66 games last year, but that was due to his shoulder injury. Other than that, his lowest GP total since 2000 was 70 in 2006-07.
He averaged 18.7 PPG last year, which was his lowest total in six years, but that was because he averaged just 15.8 PPG after the trade, which was because he averaged four fewer shots per game in Cleveland than he did in Washington.
Jamo might turn into an old fogey before our very eyes, but his stats don't seem to bear that out. And he hasn't had any recurring injuries or deteriorating joints that have caused him to miss significant time, so it would appear that he can squeeze at least a couple more 20/8 seasons out of his body.
Mo, yes, he is a crappy defender. Yes, his name is mud around here because he had yet another lousy playoff run. But even if he is overrated, the numbers show that the guy scores. So, overrated as an all-around player? Probably. But he is a good scorer. Good, not great.
So, I'm just not seeing the "dead weight outside of AV and JJ" argument. This team is flat-out middle of the pack. They're going to need to get rid of Mo and Twan to get to where they need to go, which is the top of the draft lottery.
Personally, I don't even see why we're arguing about how many games this team is going to win. Whether they win 32 or 41 or 45, the fact is, they're going to be a non-contender that isn't bad enough to get the ping-pong balls they need to draft another possible franchise cornerstone. It's the 1994-2001 Cavs all over again.