by ajunior148 » Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:41 pm
I still think he signs with us, so I'll give this a shot. My guess is a sign and trade with Bosh, and I'll give my reasons why I think it happens.
To be clear, I wouldn't be surprised to be wrong on this obviously as there are a lot of variables. But it is honestly what my goal would be if I were LBJ.
Toronto trades:
Chris Bosh - $17.5 Mill
Calderon - $9 Mill (They benched him for Jack so I keep reading they would like to dump him to save cash)
$26.5 Mill Total
Cleveland Trades:
Andy - $7 Mill
Wally S - $5 Mill (With 500K Buyout Option)
Delonte - $4.5 Mill (With 500K Buyout Option)
Hickson - $1.5 Mill
1st Round Pick - $1.5 Mill
Cash - $3 Mill
Telfair - $2.5 Mill
$24 Mill but costs Toronto $9 Mill this year
My reasoning:
4. Money - It's not very often that players leave money on the table, and going to Chicago will leave money on the table for both LBJ and Bosh. They won't get their max raises per year, and they'll get 5 years instead of 6. Granted LBJ gets a max again at the end of this (and likely Bosh) but there is some uncertainty on what that will be since the league will be under a new CBA at that time.
3. Legacy - There is a very legit shot that going to Chicago or Miami will limit what his legacy could be. Will people say after he wins a championship in a year that he is only able to win one with a Dream Team with Wade and Bosh? Wade will already have his ring and Bosh shouldn't be concerned with that, but the possibility is there for LBJ. Going to Chicago could cause the same story. Jordan didn't have to go team with Ewing and Miller to win a championship. This doesn't even consider the negative publicity of leaving the team would cause.
2. Ownership and Front Office - Gilbert has shown a willingness to do what it takes to succeed, and that will go a long way with LBJ. He is one of the top owners in the league. Chicago does not have the same benefit with their owner, and they have a Paxson in their front office. The guy wanted to fight his coach recently, in fact. Miami may have an upper hand here with Riley, but their owner does not have the reputation of Gilbert.
1. LBJ's Best Case Scenario - This is something that I have not seemed mentioned, but staying in Cleveland is the only chance he has at getting the best case scenario for LBJ. Granted, going to play for that Bulls roster with Bosh will give him multiple championships (even though I disagree on Deng playing SG), but where is the mountain to climb? Winning with that roster will not be worth what it would be to his legacy to take the Cavs roster with Bosh, and he has to think that it is doable with Bosh, a new coach, and an owner willing to spend truck loads of cash. Leaving will affect his legacy. I'm not certain how much, but it won't only be Cavs fans that remember.
Everything... the championships, his perception around the league and with the fans, the overall legacy he leaves... will be better if he accomplishes success in Cleveland instead of another city. Yes, there is more risk involved in comparison to the starting 5 Chicago will have the next 2 years, but LBJ has to believe he can win a title if he can convince Bosh to come to Cleveland and be his Pippen.