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NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

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NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sat Jan 09, 2010 5:42 pm

Jets +2.5 & over 14.5
Last edited by Erie Warrior on Sat Jan 09, 2010 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby swerb » Sat Jan 09, 2010 5:50 pm

Cinci -2.5 and Philly +3.5 for me today.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby mrburns » Sat Jan 09, 2010 9:45 pm

My three picks for the weekend: Jets straight up +120, Cowboys -4, Pack +1.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sun Jan 10, 2010 3:41 pm

Packers -2.5
Aaron Rodgers: 1st pass= complete
Over 22 completions
Over 1.5 TDs
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby GreatGoo » Thu Jan 14, 2010 10:50 pm

Cards +7
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sat Jan 16, 2010 12:03 am

Cards +7
Cowboys +2.5
Chargers -6.5
Manning- Over 1.5 TD passes, Over 24 completions
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby leadpipe » Sat Jan 16, 2010 12:22 am

Man, lotta conflicting numbers on these games this weekend. Don't think Sanchez can win another road playoff game, on the other hand, the Jets run it, and stop it, and the Chargers can't run it, and don't stop it. Can you give Warner 7? However, teams coming off the bye are a historically good wager - this is a source of conflicting info in the Ravens/Colts tilt.

Gotta have a little action each day however. Going to go with the under in the Saints game, however, I would wait on that one, because you might get another hook or two. Early steam on the over, and it doesn't look like much sharp money is going to change that. This is the highest official playoff number (since accurate records were kept) and in the top half dozen in any game the last 20 years. People looking at a shootout obviously, but 57 is a ton of points.

Looking into the Cowboys also. They have some cats I don't trust, however, they are hot, they've got the hot pass rush, and they've got a fresh Felix Jones, who by the way, is GOOD. And, I don't trust good ole' Brett - than again, they are coming off the bye. I'll get back to you on this one.

So, under 57 on Saturday, don't LOVE it, but it's the best I can do this weekend.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby swerb » Sat Jan 16, 2010 12:31 am

Leaning towards playing Bal (buy to 7) and Ariz tomorrow, with small parlays with each and the unders in both. Prolly small ML and under parlays as well.

Like Min Sunday. Not sure why. Just feels right to me. On the fence SD/NYJ. Leaning SD.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Guest » Sat Jan 16, 2010 3:08 pm

Zona
Over
Indy
Under
Dall
Under
SD
Under

I don't play games, just wanted to weigh in for shits and giggles.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:10 pm

Cowboys line moving, +3 right now.

I think the 'boys win this.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Guest » Sun Jan 17, 2010 1:15 pm

I love Dallas in this one.
If the public is jumping on the Vikes and line is going up that means the Cowboys will cover, and win.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Guest » Sun Jan 17, 2010 4:24 pm

Cowboys took a dump. Again.
Too bad.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby davemanddd » Sun Jan 17, 2010 6:13 pm

FightDr wrote:Cowboys took a dump. Again.
Too bad.


that's putting it mildly.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sat Jan 23, 2010 3:02 pm

Colts -7
Saints -3.5

I'll wait for gametime to hit the props.

Peyton- Over 36.5 att
Clark- Over 6.5 rec
Addai- Over 13.5 att


Favre- Under 32.5 att
Peterson- Over 21.5 att
Brees- Over 34.5 att
Bush- Over 70.5 rush+rec
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby mrburns » Sun Jan 24, 2010 10:22 pm

Took the Colts -9, and Saints -3.5.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Mon Jan 25, 2010 6:18 pm

Line is moving like crazy. Got Indy -5.5, wanted to get in around 4, but gambling sites are blocked at work. Imagine that.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby leadpipe » Mon Jan 25, 2010 7:57 pm

Erie Warrior wrote:Line is moving like crazy. Got Indy -5.5, wanted to get in around 4, but gambling sites are blocked at work. Imagine that.


Make no mistake about it, that is SHARP money steaming that line early. Vegas books having a poor year, and opening the line where they did may have opened the door for another big loss Super Bowl Sunday.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Guest » Mon Jan 25, 2010 8:26 pm

Indy -7 or -8 by game time and I would still like Manning and Co.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby skatingtripods » Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:05 pm

What's the over/under on Carrie?
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sat Feb 06, 2010 11:33 am

Line back down to 5, probably from news of Wayne's injury. Love the props on this so far- Who the coach thanks first, what song the Who will open with, will kim k. be wearing a Saint's jersey, great stuff.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Feb 06, 2010 12:51 pm

Erie Warrior wrote:what song the Who will open with


I hit American Girl at +135 when Petty was there.

Here's what Pete Townshend said they would play:
"We're kinda doing a mashup of stuff," the guitarist tells Billboard. "A bit of 'Baba O'Riley,' a bit of 'Pinball Wizard,' a bit of the close of 'Tommy,' a bit of 'Who Are You,' and a bit of 'Won't Get Fooled Again.' It works -- it's quite a saga. A lot of the stuff that we do has that kind of celebratory vibe about it -- we've always tried to make music that allows the audience to go a bit wild if they want to. Hopefully it will hit the spot."
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby leadpipe » Sun Feb 07, 2010 12:20 am

This might be the biggest sucker year ever for Super Bowl props. With the number as high as it is, and two strong offensive teams that accompany it, the juice on the "over" sides of these bets is horrific at just about every book. Not to mention square money always leans over.

Lead Man likes to have a little action on Super Bowl props to be sure, and it's tough to get a good price any year, but if you're an over bettor on these props you are going to have to be ON FIRE to turn a profit.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Guest » Sun Feb 07, 2010 9:36 am

Prop bets are for suckers.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sun Feb 07, 2010 10:50 am

FightDr wrote:Prop bets are for suckers.


+1

Clark- over 6.5 rec
Addai- over 62.5 rush yards

Added Brees- under 295.5 pass yards and the big money winner, at +900, Colts by 11-13 points
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby leadpipe » Sun Feb 07, 2010 5:56 pm

Locked in with the Colts -4.5.

Not sure what's going on by the way, still look for late sharp steam to move it in favor of the chalk.

Also, if you can get a price on the long field goal - under 44.5 is the way to go. Both historically and....these teams don't kick.

Again, hard to get value on these props, trying to dig up a few to have a little action.

Not havin' much luck.
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Re: NFL Playoffs and Super Bowl

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sun Feb 07, 2010 6:58 pm

Lead Pipe wrote:Locked in with the Colts -4.5.
Not sure what's going on by the way, still look for late sharp steam to move it in favor of the chalk.


Can't even get into betus.com, lot of last minute action. -4.5 looks like a solid play, I'm surprised it dropped so much.
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