Damage wrote:Sorry. The McCain ticket simply does not have the grassroots energy to win this. Game, set, match. Their only platform (experience) is now moot. Hillary will sink her teeth into Palin. This is going to get quite ugly. Biden will handle her with kid gloves, but please, he'd have a tougher debate against a lamp.
It's over. 49-41 polling BEFORE Obama's brilliant speech last night.
Dude, there's usually a bounce on daily tracking during a convention. It's hardly game, set, match.
The experience argument is not moot because now Obama has to criticize McCain for picking someone that inexperienced to be a heartbeat away from the Presidency. That's going to bite Obama in the ass because he wants to be President and he has just as much experience, probably less, than Palin.
You're right, this will get ugly. The conservative base just got recharged. Dobson just said he'd vote for McCain now. I've talked to a lot of people now that are more excited than ever.
McCain is going to win this going away. 10 points or more in November. Obama is going to get hammered in the debates and Joe Biden will say something patronizing when he debates Palin. The Republicans will hammer away on energy and they will also hammer away on how often Biden has been dead wrong on foreign policy (voted against the first Iraq war, voted against the surge, didn't see the Russia resurgence coming when McCain did).
Let's wait until Monday to see if McCain's pick took the wind out of the sails. The poll you cited was from last night after Obama's mediocre speech in which he promised to raise taxes on the people that pay over 60% of it. They'll move their money, revenue will decrease, the deficit will deepen, and America will be worse off because of it.
Obama's plan: Bankrupt America with over a trillion dollars in new, unfunded programs, tax rebates to people who already do not pay taxes (40% of Americans actually pay $0.00 in Federal income taxes).
Trust me. Obama is already backing off the experience attacks because McCain's camp effectively turned that against him. He can't attack her too badly or he'll piss off the feminists BUT if he doesn't he will piss off the Hillary supporters because of how she was attacked.
Go over to HillaryClintonForum.net. Those people are dancing will glee at this one. Most are saying that McCain is a definite.
Mark this down. Obama is going to lose Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Minnesota to McCain. The tracking in Pennsylvania looks horrible for Obama right now because McCain is leading by over 10 points in the swing areas that Hillary took. These are places that Kerry won in 2004.
Minnesota's polling is begin to suggest McCain. Same for Wisconsin. And now the Republicans have someone who is the closest to the blue collar worker. Her husband is in the steelworkers union. Her parents were a teacher and a secretary.
Obama could be in some pretty deep doo-doo. Let's see what happens after the RNC. If Obama is up by eight and McCain gets a 15 point or more bounce then McCain is up by seven or eight next weekend.