by gotribe31 » Mon May 02, 2011 10:18 am
So, to take a quick step back from the (totally justified) euphoria over the kill and the already trite politics of the situation, what does this mean for the near and long term safety of the country with respect to the threat from Islamic terrorism?
This slightly lessens the threat from Al Qaida proper, or AQ in PK, or AQSL or whatever you feel like calling them. That means that the long term, mass casualty, 9/11 style attacks that are planned and excecuted out of the FATA will be at the very least set back based on the death of UBL and the capture of any associated media/pocket trash. Good example of the type of plot associated with AQSL would the the disrupted NYC subway plot a couple of summers ago.
What this doesn't have any effect on are the attacks coming from AQ inspired disaffiliated groups/individuals, AQ in the Horn of Africa (al-Shabaab and their kin), and AQ in Yemen (AQAP, run by Anwar Al-Awaki). AQAQ was behind the Christmas airliner plot, and were the spiritual force behind Maj. Hassan for his attack on Ft. Hood. AQAP won't be effected by UBL's death at all, and if anything they'll be able to use it as a rallying cry to fire up the troops.
So while this is a significant tactical victory and will provide strategic intelligence on AQSL, it doesn't dramatically lower the threat from AQ affiliates and AQ inspired individuals. By no means am I dismissing this as "useless" because I think it's a great morale boost and will hopefully intensify the pressure on Pakistan to root out more of these scumbags. It was a great operation planned and executed by our intelligence and military forces, and the president had the stones to say "yes, fly into Pakistan and kill/capture this SOB."
A great thing no matter how you slice it, but also need to be cautious and aware that the war isn't over. It's kinda like the Indians April in that way. Really good that it happened, but there's a long way to go.
You cannot help men permanently by doing for them what they could and should do for themselves
-----Abe Lincoln
Let me tell you, if any of you douchebag empty headed stuffed suit nanny politicians tries to fuck with my bacon, I’m going after you like a crazed chimpanzee on bath salts.
-----Lars