by Jumbo » Wed Feb 16, 2011 11:51 am
Inflation seems to be the #1 story lurking behind everything this year. It preceded the protests in Tunisia and Egypt, and now it's causing problems in Europe and China (as the article jb linked notes, inflation could erode the nominal gains of the Chinese economy).
This is one area where the U.S. economy seems to have an advantage over the rest of the world. Because the U.S. is a net agricultural exporter, it is less dependent on imported food for price stability. I suppose that rising global food prices might even ease the trade deficit. Also, with the economy appearing to grow at a slow, but steady pace and slack in the labor market, there is less pressure on wages and prices here than elsewhere. (Fiscal issues lurk in the background, though.)
Of course, although the U.S. is not as sensitive to increases in food prices, it remains vulnerable to oil price increases. I wonder, though, whether the rising cost of food in the developing world may dampen the growth of industrial development there (and keep oil prices from spiking too high, too fast).