MLB Pick 30 - PHASE TWO - The Lead Man Wins AGAIN

[swerb]

Speaking of great games, how about that Arizona & Washington matchup.

Arizona does everything in their power to hand the Nats that one. Down 2-0 in the 9th, an error allows the Nats to tie it up but they can't get the runner on 2nd in with no outs.

Then after giving up 3 in the top half of the tenth, they immediately come back and tie it up 5-5, but can't get Kearns home from 3rd with 1 out.

Amazing how many opportunities they squandered.

Nats have been blowing games in the 8th, 9th, and 10th innings ALL season.

[CarolinaTribe]

Yep. Rauch has been alright, but no Cordero is obviously a big blow. I'm pretty surprised they put five runs up that game. As if their lineup wasn't bad enough, they are without Zimmerman, Dukes and Milledge right now.

Must be a rough time to be a Nationals fan, but isn't it always?

[swerb]

RESULTS FOR DAY 32/50

1 Carolina Tribe 18 - 6 0.750 W4
2 Lead Pipe 14 - 5 0.737 L1 - Diamondbacks
3 P Willy 14 - 8 0.636 W3 - Dodgers
4 tpcatfox 12 - 7 0.632 W1 - Dodgers
5 D$ 13 - 8 0.619 W4 - Dodgers
6 Uncle Junior 9 - 6 0.600 W4
7 Gridlock 10 - 7 0.588 W3 - Cubs
8 Fresh 9 - 7 0.563 W3
9 Bayou Tribe 12 - 10 0.545 W3 - Yankees
10 Pepitone 9 - 8 0.529 L1 - Royals
10 jjgmyers 9 - 8 0.529 W1
10 Action Boy 9 - 8 0.529 W2 - Phillies
13 Peeker643 10 - 9 0.526 L1
13 Swerb 10 - 9 0.526 W1 - Angels
15 Tucker 11 - 10 0.524 L1 - Blue Jays
15 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
17 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 13 0.480 W3 - Dodgers
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
18 jpd1224 10 - 11 0.476 W3 - Pirates
20 waborat 8 - 10 0.444 L4
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 15 0.348 W2 - Dodgers

STANDINGS THROUGH DAY 32/50

1 Carolina Tribe 18 - 6 0.750 W4
1 Lead Pipe 15 - 5 0.750 W1
3 P Willy 14 - 9 0.609 L1
4 tpcatfox 12 - 8 0.600 L1
4 Uncle Junior 9 - 6 0.600 W4
6 D$ 13 - 9 0.591 L1
7 Fresh 9 - 7 0.563 W3
8 Gridlock 10 - 8 0.556 L1
8 Pepitone 10 - 8 0.556 W1
8 Action Boy 10 - 8 0.556 W3
11 Swerb 11 - 9 0.550 W2
12 Tucker 12 - 10 0.545 W1
13 jjgmyers 9 - 8 0.529 W1
14 Peeker643 10 - 9 0.526 L1
15 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
16 Bayou Tribe 12 - 11 0.522 L1
17 jpd1224 11 - 11 0.500 W4
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
z - 19 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 14 0.462 L1
20 waborat 8 - 10 0.444 L4
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
z - 23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
z - 24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 16 0.333 L1

SCHEDULE FOR DAY 33/50

Giants Cubs 2:20 p.m. Cain (5-7) Marquis (6-5)
D-Backs Phillies 7:05 p.m. Davis (3-4) Kendrick (8-3)
Orioles Red Sox 7:05 p.m. Burres (6-5) Buchholz (2-3)
Twins Tigers 7:05 p.m. Perkins (5-2) Galarraga (7-2)
Cardinals Pirates 7:05 p.m. Lohse (10-2) Duke (4-5)
Rays Indians 7:05 p.m. Shields (7-5) Lee (11-2)
Yankees Blue Jays 7:07 p.m. Chamberlain (2-2) Halladay (10-6)
Rockies Mets 7:10 p.m. Cook (11-6) Perez (6-5)
Astros Nationals 7:35 p.m. Oswalt (7-8) Redding (6-3)
White Sox Rangers 8:05 p.m. Floyd (10-4) Mendoza (1-3)
Reds Brewers 8:05 p.m. Fogg (1-2) Parra (8-2)
Mariners Royals 8:10 p.m. Hernandez (6-5) Hochevar (5-7)
Angels Athletics 10:05 p.m. Garland (8-5) Gallagher (3-4)
Braves Padres 10:05 p.m. Reyes (3-7) Peavy (6-5)
Marlins Dodgers 10:40 p.m. Volstad (1-0) Stults (2-1)

WHO HAS WHO LEFT

Lead Pipe Bos NYY LAA Sea Tex
Fla StL ChiC SF LAD

Swerb Bos KC Oak Tex
Fla Was StL Hou SD LAD

Peeker643 Bos LAA Tex
Fla Was StL ChiC Pit Ariz SF LAD

Action Boy Bal Min Sea Tex
Atl Was StL Pit Hou Ariz SD SF

jpd1224 Bal Min
Atl Phil Was StL Hou Col

Tucker Bal Cle Min Sea
Fla Was Hou Col

4thQtrGlory Tor Oak Sea Tex NYM
Atl Fla Phil Was StL Pit Hou Col SD LAD

Sir Lawrence Bal Min KC Sea
Phil Was

Big Lu DONE
waborat Bos NYY ChiW Sea Tex
Phil Was StL ChiC Pit SD LAD

ASPDawgPound12 Det NYM
Pit SD

daveski Bal Det ChiW Oak Sea Tex NYM
Fla Phil Hou SF LAD

CarolinaTribe Tex
Phil Was StL ChiC LAD

Eckersley Bos Tex
Phil Was StL Hou Mil SF LAD

Uncle Junior Bos Tor Bal KC Sea Tex
Fla Phil Was ChiC Hou Col Ariz SD LAD

Bayou Tribe NYY Min Sea Tex
Phil Was Pit Hou

Gridlock Bal Cle Min Tex NYM
Phil Was StL Pit Hou SF LAD

Bill Henry Bos Tor Det Min NYM
Fla Pit Hou SF LAD

tpcatfox Bal KC Tex
Fla Phil Was StL Col SD SF

Fresh Bos Tor Bal Sea Tex
Fla Phil Was ChiC Pit Hou Col SD LAD

P Willy Bos Bal KC Sea
Was Pit SF

Pepitone Tor Cle Sea Tex NYM
Fla Was Pit Hou Col SD LAD

D$ Bos NYY ChiW NYM
StL Pit SD SF

jjgmyers Tor TB Cle KC Oak Sea Tex
Atl Phil Was StL ChiC Col

[swerb]

Padres for Swerb tonight

[swerb]

A little statistical analysis here.

If you were to bet $100 a game on your selection every night in this pool, you would need to go 19-11 to be profitable at the end of it.

In making that statement, I am using the assumption that the average odds on your 30 selections is -165. I think that's about right. At the beginning, most of your picks will usually be -180, -190, sometimes even -200 or greater. As you get deeper, the odds get lower as you have less teams to choose from. At the end, you're lucky to get a favorite of more than -120.

$100 bet at -165 pays $60. You win $60 19 times, that's $1,140. Eleven losing $100 bets is -$1100. Net +$40.

15-15: -$600
16-14: -$440
17-13: -$280
18-12: -$120
19-11: +$40
20-10: +$200
21-9: +$360
22-8: +$520
23-7: +$680
24-6: +$840

[CarolinaTribe]

I was meaning towards keeping track of this from the beginning of phase 2. I thought it would be neat to see what the average line was of all 30 selections I made. Kind of like poker...you pick the biggest favorites possible and hope the best odds hold up.

[jpd1224]

Thanks for saving us BIG money

[jpd1224]

I may very well win this game tonight.

But I'm not going against this Rangers offense again. Not even with Scott Feldman on the bump.

Rangers just rake. Even their outs are hit hard.

You are loving life if you have the Rangers in a shutout pool. I don't see that offensive juggernaut being blanked.

Gimme $50 at 10-1 that Floyd throws a four-hit whitewash tonight.

[uncle junior]

Uncle Junior = San Diego

Fresh = San Diego

[jpd1224]

FRIDAY

J Paul CARDINALS
Tucker ROCKIES

[tpcatfox]

Is this winner take all? Not that my selections will put me at the top but I forgot the payout! The very bad Padres tonight (fri)...maybe Peavy can get me a win.....tpcatfox

[peeker643]

Cardinals tonight please. Someone shoulda mentioned orlando in July is warm, BTW.

Renting a camel with broadband right now.

[swerb]

Is this winner take all? Not that my selections will put me at the top but I forgot the payout! The very bad Padres tonight (fri)...maybe Peavy can get me a win.....tpcatfox

Winner take all TP.

[CarolinaTribe]

I may very well win this game tonight.

But I'm not going against this Rangers offense again. Not even with Scott Feldman on the bump.

Rangers just rake. Even their outs are hit hard.

You are loving life if you have the Rangers in a shutout pool. I don't see that offensive juggernaut being blanked.

Gimme $50 at 10-1 that Floyd throws a four-hit whitewash tonight.

I'll take that action on a Gavin Floyd 4-hit, 0 run, 9 inning shutout.

[D$]

St. Louis

[swerb]

Attention all Pick 30 junkies. Please see the link below. Make it out!

http://www.theclevelandfan.com/boards/v ... php?t=8251

[swerb]

Also, my golf outing ...

http://www.theclevelandfan.com/boards/v ... php?t=7885

Swerb, Peeker, jjgmyers, 4thQtrGlory, ASPDawgPound12, D$, potentially waborat will all be out there. Join us.

[jpd1224]

I may very well win this game tonight.

But I'm not going against this Rangers offense again. Not even with Scott Feldman on the bump.

Rangers just rake. Even their outs are hit hard.

You are loving life if you have the Rangers in a shutout pool. I don't see that offensive juggernaut being blanked.

Gimme $50 at 10-1 that Floyd throws a four-hit whitewash tonight.

I'll take that action on a Gavin Floyd 4-hit, 0 run, 9 inning shutout.

Action Boy was 17-0 last year in NFL Survivor. Maybe he's right about the Rangers, too.

[Phillip-1]

Friday night
Toronto BJ's

[Action Boy]

I may very well win this game tonight.

But I'm not going against this Rangers offense again. Not even with Scott Feldman on the bump.

Rangers just rake. Even their outs are hit hard.

You are loving life if you have the Rangers in a shutout pool. I don't see that offensive juggernaut being blanked.

Gimme $50 at 10-1 that Floyd throws a four-hit whitewash tonight.

I'll take that action on a Gavin Floyd 4-hit, 0 run, 9 inning shutout.

Action Boy was 17-0 last year in NFL Survivor. Maybe he's right about the Rangers, too.

Thanks for the props J.P. I really do believe it will be very hard to shut out the Rangers....it will take one hell of a pitching effort.

[Action Boy]

Gridlock takes the Philadelphia Phillies

[Action Boy]

Action Boy takes the San Diego Padres

[CarolinaTribe]

Think Blue. C-Tribe plays the Dodgers on Friday night.

[uncle junior]

Junior - Chicago Cubs

Fresh - Chicago Cubs

for Sat. afternoon

[tpcatfox]

KC tonight please...Sat.,.........tpcatfox

[leadpipe]

Chicago Cubs fo Saturday.

[CarolinaTribe]

I'll go Cubs also. Just don't see them losing this one.

[swerb]

I caught an error with FRESH from Day 29. He had the Brewers on July 7 and they lost 4-3. He was credited with a win instead of a loss....which would make him 8-8 versus 9-7.

[swerb]

RESULTS FOR DAY 33/50

1 Carolina Tribe 18 - 6 0.750 W4
1 Lead Pipe 15 - 5 0.750 W1
3 P Willy 14 - 9 0.609 L1
4 tpcatfox 12 - 8 0.600 L1 - Padres
4 Uncle Junior 9 - 6 0.600 W4 - Padres
6 D$ 13 - 9 0.591 L1 - Cardinals
7 Fresh 8 - 8 0.563 W3 - Padres
8 Gridlock 10 - 8 0.556 L1 - Phillies
8 Pepitone 10 - 8 0.556 W1 - Blue Jays
8 Action Boy 10 - 8 0.556 W3 - Padres
11 Swerb 11 - 9 0.550 W2 - Padres
12 Tucker 12 - 10 0.545 W1 - Rockies
13 jjgmyers 9 - 8 0.529 W1
14 Peeker643 10 - 9 0.526 L1 - Cardinals
15 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
16 Bayou Tribe 12 - 11 0.522 L1 - Phillies
17 jpd1224 11 - 11 0.500 W4 - Cardinals
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
z - 19 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 14 0.462 L1
20 waborat 8 - 10 0.444 L4
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
z - 23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
z - 24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 16 0.333 L1

STANDINGS THROUGH DAY 33/50

1 Lead Pipe 15 - 5 0.750 W1
2 Carolina Tribe 18 - 7 0.720 L1
3 Uncle Junior 10 - 6 0.625 W5
4 tpcatfox 13 - 8 0.619 W1
5 P Willy 14 - 9 0.609 L1
5 D$ 14 - 9 0.609 W1
7 Gridlock 11 - 8 0.579 W1
7 Pepitone 11 - 8 0.579 W2
7 Action Boy 11 - 8 0.579 W4
10 Swerb 12 - 9 0.571 W3
11 Peeker643 11 - 9 0.550 W1
12 Bayou Tribe 13 - 11 0.542 W1
13 Fresh 9 - 8 0.529 W4
13 jjgmyers 9 - 8 0.529 W1
15 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
16 Tucker 12 - 11 0.522 L1
16 jpd1224 12 - 11 0.522 W5
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
z - 19 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 14 0.462 L1
20 waborat 8 - 10 0.444 L4
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
z - 23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
z - 24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 16 0.333 L1


SCHEDULE FOR DAY 34/50

Giants Cubs 1:05 p.m. Correia (1-5) Harden (5-1)
Yankees Blue Jays 1:07 p.m. Rasner (4-7) Litsch (8-5)
D-Backs Phillies 3:55 p.m. Johnson (5-7) Eaton (3-7)
Rockies Mets 3:55 p.m. Jimenez (4-8) Martinez (3-2)
Twins Tigers 3:55 p.m. Baker (5-2) Robertson (6-7)
Orioles Red Sox 7:05 p.m. Liz (3-1) Wakefield (5-6)
White Sox Rangers 7:05 p.m. Danks (6-4) Millwood (6-4)
Reds Brewers 7:05 p.m. Volquez (11-3) McClung (5-4)
Cardinals Pirates 7:05 p.m. Wellemeyer (7-4) Herrera (0-0)
Rays Indians 7:05 p.m. Garza (7-4) Ginter (0-0)
Astros Nationals 7:10 p.m. Rodriguez (3-3) Balester (1-1)
Mariners Royals 7:10 p.m. Washburn (4-8) Meche (6-9)
Angels Athletics 9:05 p.m. Santana (10-3) Eveland (7-5)
Marlins Dodgers 10:10 p.m. Nolasco (10-4) Kuroda (5-6)
Braves Padres 10:15 p.m. Morton (1-2) Maddux (3-7)

[swerb]

Royals for Swerb today

[CarolinaTribe]

Swerb, I took the Dodgers(L) last night.

[swerb]

Swerb, I took the Dodgers(L) last night.

My bad

Standings above adjusted

[swerb]

[waborat]

CARDINALS FOR SAT

[jjgmyers]

Tampa Bay on saturday

[bison12]

SirLawrence- Baltimore

[leadpipe]

This just in from the land of Disney.

Peeker643 is on the Cardinals for Saturday night.

Peeker, St. Louis Saturday.

That is all.

[Action Boy]

Gridlock takes the St Louis Cardinals

Action Boy takes the St Louis Cardinals

[Action Boy]

What an unreal Saturday in baseball.

The Cubs blow a 7-0 lead in the 8th only to win in it in the 11th.

The Royals are down to their last strike and low and behold a walk followed by a walk off two run HR nets the Royals a 5-4 win.

Then we have the Cardinals implosion. Leading 10-4 heading to the 8th inning. Pirates score 6 runs to send into extra innings. The Cardinals score one in the 10th for a 11-10. Not to be outdone, ex Tribe player, Jason Michaels blasts a two run jack to give the Pirates a 12-11 win.

[uncle junior]

Uncle Junior = Boston

Fresh = Boston

Provided the game has not begun

[swerb]

Swerb, what's the "z" mean in the standings . . . zilch, zero, no chance, goose is cooked, loser? Thanks

Mathematically eliminated

[swerb]

RESULTS FOR DAY 34/50

1 Lead Pipe 15 - 5 0.750 W1 - Cubs
2 Carolina Tribe 18 - 7 0.720 L1 - Cubs
3 Uncle Junior 10 - 6 0.625 W5 - Cubs
4 tpcatfox 13 - 8 0.619 W1 - Royals
5 P Willy 14 - 9 0.609 L1
5 D$ 14 - 9 0.609 W1
7 Gridlock 11 - 8 0.579 W1 - Cardinals
7 Pepitone 11 - 8 0.579 W2
7 Action Boy 11 - 8 0.579 W4 - Cardinals
10 Swerb 12 - 9 0.571 W3 - Royals
11 Peeker643 11 - 9 0.550 W1
12 Bayou Tribe 13 - 11 0.542 W1
13 Fresh 9 - 8 0.529 W4 - Cubs
13 jjgmyers 9 - 8 0.529 W1 - Rays
15 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
16 Tucker 12 - 11 0.522 L1
16 jpd1224 12 - 11 0.522 W5
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
z - 19 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 14 0.462 L1
20 waborat 8 - 10 0.444 L4 - Cardinals
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
z - 23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
z - 24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 16 0.333 L1 - Orioles

STANDINGS THROUGH DAY 34/50

1 Lead Pipe 16 - 5 0.762 W2
2 Carolina Tribe 19 - 7 0.731 W1
3 Uncle Junior 11 - 6 0.647 W6
4 tpcatfox 14 - 8 0.636 W2
5 P Willy 14 - 9 0.609 L1
5 D$ 14 - 9 0.609 W1
7 Swerb 13 - 9 0.591 W4
8 Pepitone 11 - 8 0.579 W2
9 Fresh 10 - 8 0.556 W5
10 Gridlock 11 - 9 0.550 L1
10 Action Boy 11 - 9 0.550 L1
10 Peeker643 11 - 9 0.550 W1
13 Bayou Tribe 13 - 11 0.542 W1
14 Bill Henry 11 - 10 0.524 L2
15 Tucker 12 - 11 0.522 L1
15 jpd1224 12 - 11 0.522 W5
17 jjgmyers 9 - 9 0.500 L1
18 Eckersley 10 - 11 0.476 L1
z - 19 ASPDawgPound12 12 - 14 0.462 L1
20 waborat 8 - 11 0.421 L5
21 4thQtrGlory 6 - 9 0.400 L2
22 daveski 7 - 11 0.389 L6
z - 23 Big Lu 11 - 19 0.367 L6
z - 24 Sir Lawrence 8 - 17 0.320 L2

SCHEDULE FOR DAY 35/50

Twins Tigers 1:05 p.m. Blackburn (7-4) Verlander (6-9)
Rays Indians 1:05 p.m. Kazmir (7-4) Sowers (0-5)
Yankees Blue Jays 1:07 p.m. Pettitte (10-6) Burnett (9-8)
D-Backs Phillies 1:35 p.m. Webb (13-4) Hamels (9-6)
Orioles Red Sox 1:35 p.m. Cabrera (6-4) Matsuzaka (9-1)
Astros Nationals 1:35 p.m. Backe (5-9) Perez (2-6)
Cardinals Pirates 1:35 p.m. Pineiro (3-4) Snell (3-7)
Reds Brewers 2:05 p.m. Bailey (0-3) Sabathia (7-8)
Mariners Royals 2:10 p.m. Silva (4-11) Davies (3-1)
Giants Cubs 2:20 p.m. Lincecum (10-2) Dempster (10-3)
White Sox Rangers 3:05 p.m. Contreras (7-6) Harrison (1-0)
Angels Athletics 4:05 p.m. Moseley (1-3) Duchscherer (10-5)
Braves Padres 4:05 p.m. Campillo (3-4) Wolf (6-8)
Marlins Dodgers 4:10 p.m. Miller (5-8) Billingsley (8-8)
Rockies Mets 8:05 p.m. Redman (2-4) Pelfrey (7-6)

[swerb]

Give Swerb the Red Sox for Sunday

[swerb]

This just in from the land of Disney.

Peeker643 is on the Cardinals for Saturday night.

Peeker, St. Louis Saturday.

That is all.

Peeks used em already.

[Phillip-1]

Texas Rangers on Sunday 7/13

[jpd1224]

SUNDAY


J Paul NATIONALS
Tucker NATIONALS

[CarolinaTribe]

Ok, I'll close my eyes and take the Nationals today.

[tpcatfox]

Those strong bats and the rangers today sun. please.....tpcatfox

[CarolinaTribe]

I should of kept my eyes closed.

The Nationals have got to be AAA level right now. Look at the roster. Not many teams in baseball can do the following in one game:

1) Get three baserunners on in a row, but fail to score a run because Harris the moron tries to swipe second with no outs.

2) Ground into a fielders choice to CF before eventually leaving the bases loaded.

3) Get a single to leadoff the inning, and be out of the inning two pitches later.

The pitching hasn't been terrible, actually.

[leadpipe]

The Lead Man is on the Dodgers, dogs.

LA Dodgers for Sunday.