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Week 7 CFB

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Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Wed Oct 14, 2009 7:59 pm

Boise/ Tulsa Over 56.5
Cent. Mich. -7
Hawaii/ Idaho Under 60
Arkansas +24
Va Tech -4
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Wed Oct 14, 2009 8:15 pm

I fought all day with taking Tulsa outright at +335, but never did it.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Wed Oct 14, 2009 8:19 pm

Seeing this rain doesn't make me happy, supposed to be under 25% chance.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby pup » Wed Oct 14, 2009 8:57 pm

5-2 through 2 weeks.

Iowa +2.5
Texas -3.5
Notre Dame +10
Virginia Tech -3.5
Washington +6.5
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Wed Oct 14, 2009 9:42 pm

Erie Warrior wrote:Seeing this rain doesn't make me happy, supposed to be under 25% chance.


32 in the first half is decent for you.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Thu Oct 15, 2009 7:53 am

I hope Tulsa's O-line gets swine flu. Awful. And Kinney too for that shitty pass on the last play. It would have been six and forced an OT.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby 4thQtrGlory » Sat Oct 17, 2009 10:52 am

who is everyone picking today? any big picks in play?
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 12:48 pm

Fresno St. -20.5
Miami (FL) -13
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 2:34 pm

Bought the hook and added Nevada -7 (-125)
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Guest » Sat Oct 17, 2009 3:17 pm

Good: Louisville scores TD on last play of game to get to the number at +13
Bad: Kicker misses his second XP of the game -- PUSH!
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 3:28 pm

GodHatesClevelandSports wrote:Good: Louisville scores TD on last play of game to get to the number at +13
Bad: Kicker misses his second XP of the game -- PUSH!


Brutal.

I feel for you man.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 3:55 pm

Nevada is the most god damn inconsistent team in DI. Christ. Why did I bother betting them?
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Guest » Sat Oct 17, 2009 4:49 pm

Skating Tripods wrote:
GodHatesClevelandSports wrote:Good: Louisville scores TD on last play of game to get to the number at +13
Bad: Kicker misses his second XP of the game -- PUSH!


Brutal.

I feel for you man.


Good thing I only had $5 on it!

I've been taken Phil Steele's picks (PhilSteele.com) and playing a little bit on a lot of them. I haven't added it up over the course of the year to see if it is a wise strategy, but in the weeks I've done it it works pretty well. Every game where he has a 10-point discrepancy between his winner and the point spread, I take that team. And if he picks an underdog to win SU, that's a bet. I've just been putting a five spot on each one. The point-spread winners have been doing better than the underdog SU winners, but on those you really only have to hit around 45-50% to eke out a little profit since you're getting extra bet. For today this strategy gave me:

Clemson -7½ (easy winner)
Ohio State -13½ (oops)
Middle Tennessee +170 (never a chance)
Louisville +13 (idiot kicker)
Georgia -7½ (easy winner)
Ball State +135 (never a chance)
Ohio U -14 (looking good)
East Carolina -18½ (up 18 in the second quarter)
UCLA +140 (back and forth so far)
Nebraska -whatever it was (getting slaughtered)
New Mexico State +20½ or something like that (hanging so far)
Idaho -7 or around there

For later games, he has the following dogs winning SU:

Illinois (he's been on them a lot and they lose a lot)
Kansas St
Colorado
Baylor
Florida Atlantic
SMU
Washington

Point-spread winners:

Oklahoma State by 17 (favored by 7)
UNLV (17 or so dog, he has Utah by 4)

Just hope to hit 55-60%. If you can hit just 50% on those SU dogs you make a profit.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 6:37 pm

Pipe's right on the money.

Tech outright would have been nice.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Erie Warrior » Sat Oct 17, 2009 8:26 pm

Skating Tripods wrote:Pipe's right on the money.

Tech outright would have been nice.


Which one? Va Tech is playing awful. Nesbitt is a turrible QB. 9 in the box, make him throw. Fuck!
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sat Oct 17, 2009 11:47 pm

Erie Warrior wrote:
Skating Tripods wrote:Pipe's right on the money.

Tech outright would have been nice.


Which one? Va Tech is playing awful. Nesbitt is a turrible QB. 9 in the box, make him throw. Fuck!


Pipe's column, he took TX Tech.

The Rangers beating the Leafs by 4 and Miami covering have made me up $5 for the day (not bad for betting $5 a game). Fresno St. by 21 would give me a +$15 day.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Guest » Sun Oct 18, 2009 1:27 am

Well, after cycling through all my plays I'm looking at a profit -- either 10% or 30% depending on Washington. They are looking good for a cover with a few minutes late. (Forgot to take them on the moneyline, which has a real good shot.) Didn't go with Illinois cuz they suck.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby pup » Sun Oct 18, 2009 8:51 am

Pup wrote:5-2 through 2 weeks.

Iowa +2.5
Texas -3.5
Notre Dame +10
Virginia Tech -3.5
Washington +6.5


Couple of hooks going the wrong way lead to a 2-3 Saturday.

Down to 7-5 through 3 weeks.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sun Oct 18, 2009 12:58 pm

Unbelievable. Fresno gives up a 59 yard TD with 9 fucking seconds left to stop covering.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby Guest » Sun Oct 18, 2009 1:46 pm

Skating Tripods wrote:Unbelievable. Fresno gives up a 59 yard TD with 9 fucking seconds left to stop covering.


How about Arizona State throwing a 50-yard bomb for a TD with five seconds left to beat Washington and cover by a half-point? Gross.
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Re: Week 7 CFB

Unread postby skatingtripods » Sun Oct 18, 2009 5:36 pm

GodHatesClevelandSports wrote:
Skating Tripods wrote:Unbelievable. Fresno gives up a 59 yard TD with 9 fucking seconds left to stop covering.


How about Arizona State throwing a 50-yard bomb for a TD with five seconds left to beat Washington and cover by a half-point? Gross.


Fresno was -20.5.

They won by 20.
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