http://www.theclevelandfan.com/article_ ... hp?id=1755
If I were a betting man, I would have to seriously consider taking the over for runs scored in the first game of the series. Cliff Lee will start for the Tribe and he has beaten the Reds in two out of three starts, plus a no decision... that is nice. He also has a SEVEN POINT ZERO FOUR earned run average against Cincinnati... that is not so nice. Most of that damage came in his first start against the Reds, when he didn't make it out of fourth inning before giving up seven runs.
Lee will be making his fourth start since coming off the disabled list and will be looking for win number two. Lee has either been exceptional (complete game win) or not very good (eleven innings, nine earned runs in other two starts) over his first three starts.
You want the real reason to bet the over in this game? The Reds starter, Kyle Lohse, has worse number against the Indians than Lee does against the Reds. Lohse signed with Cincinnati for two reasons, they were the only team that wanted him and he figured he would not have to make any more appearances at Jacobs Field, where he has only won two games in eight decisions and is sporting a nifty 7.31 ERA.
Lohse is coming off a pretty good spanking at the hands of the LA Dodgers, being tagged for six earned runs in four innings. One of Lohse biggest faults is the lack of any type of reliable out pitch as he has needed an average of 102 pitches to get through six innings of work.
I guess it all starts with Ken Griffey Jr, when talking about the Reds offense. Griffey has managed to stay healthy enough to appear in 35 of the Reds 41 games and leads them in batting average with a .311 average. Griffey is second to Adam "Branyan" Dunn on the Reds in home runs (11-8) and they are tied with a team high 25 RBI.
The Reds have a second baseman named Brandon Philips, but I was unable to obtain any information on him. According to the error report when I search for Philips, it appears Mark Shapiro snuck into my Internet and disabled the find former Indians who have made me look really stupid search capability.
The Reds also employ the feel good story of the 2007 season in Josh Hamilton. It appears he is no longer hooked on crack and he has returned to hitting baseballs really well. Good job Josh!
For those of you curious about how the Indians plan on getting by with Joe Borowski closing baseball games, let me introduce you to David Weathers. Weathers would struggle to break a plane of glass with his fastball. He is also seven for eight in save chances and holds a 1.89 ERA. Other than Weathers, the Reds bullpen has been pretty much full of gasoline cans. The bullpen earned run average is close to five earned runs. Want to know how bad the bullpen is? The Reds are eagerly awaiting the return of Eddie Guardado.