First off, nice piece on the Diff, and you make a good point that still EOD the most important stat is Ws & Ls.
I'm just curious as to when you do and can take the Diff stat as some of significance, if we're keeping things in context while doing so.
As I type this our Diff is -41.
So I went back and looked at our the schedule overall for varying margins of victory & defeat. L: 11 run loss once, and a 7 run loss on 3 occasions. So that's 32 runs in 4 games that would surely make the Diff look more respectable, however just like a win is a win, a loss is a loss, I'm sure you'd agree. W: 7 run victory once.
So I tried to reason what would be a good number to judge a blowout on or at least a loss by a significant amount of runs, and do so by keeping in mind the context of our offense. Let's face it we are very middle of the road in that regard with SLG being our bigger weakness right now.
I chose >4 runs, if for no other reason than b/c it requires more than one swing of the bat to overcome, and it relates nicely to our 4.4R/G avg. The Tribe has 14 losses of >4, or 37% of their total losses. While also having 9 wins by >4, 23%.
I guess what I want to know is, would you feel that half way through the season a Diff of -41 (in which 37% of the teams losses are of 5 runs or greater) is actually a very telling sign of this team's true identity? We're not talking about a team that lost 1 game 22-0 which would really throw the stat out of whack.