Text Size

Cleveland Indians & MLB

Rankings and Projections

Talk Tribe, talk baseball in this forum.

Moderators: peeker643, swerb, pup, paulcousineau

Rankings and Projections

Unread postby Jumbo » Tue Jan 31, 2012 10:32 am

With most of the big name signings finished, it's time for the pre-spring training rankings and projections to start popping up.

First, David Schoenfield has some AL Central rankings by position:


You can quibble with a ranking here or there (as he notes, Tomlin's fans will dispute his last place rank among #3 starters), but it seems pretty accurate overall. Unsurprising takeaway: Can the Indians just find a league average first baseman in the next 3 weeks?

Next, Dan Szymborski has his ZIPS projections for the Indians:


A note on projections, to preempt some expected "What is this page of nothing but numbers?" objections: in my opinion, projections like this should be compared to each other, and also used for discussion fodder, rather than as a strict prediction of what is "likely" to happen. The key reason is that such projections tend to be inherently conservative, clustering around the midpoint of what a player is projected to do. If all players just hit their projections, then even MVP candidates would just be solidly above average, and almost every team would fall between 75 and 85 wins. Some guys are going to exceed, and others will get hurt or fall short. And That's Why They Play The Games.

One bit of interestingness: AsCab's career (counting, but not rate) numbers look awfully similar to Barry Larkin's, with the noted difference that Cab is playing in a higher offense environment. Sign the extension, please.
User avatar
Posts: 949
Joined: Tue Jan 24, 2006 8:29 pm
Favorite Player: is not Buster Posey
Least Favorite Player: A.J. Pierzynski

Re: Rankings and Projections

Unread postby redneckofsc » Tue Jan 31, 2012 10:54 am

Who is Fausto Carmona?
"I kill a communist for fun, but for a green card, I gonna carve him up real nice."

"All I have in this world is my balls and my word and I don't break them for no one."
User avatar
The Ultimate Grinder
Posts: 4644
Joined: Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:24 pm
Location: W/ Russell Branyan
Favorite Player: Wil Cordero
Least Favorite Player: Matt LaPorta

Return to Cleveland Indians & MLB

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests


Who is online

In total there are 2 users online :: 0 registered, 0 hidden and 2 guests (based on users active over the past 5 minutes)
Most users ever online was 181 on Sat Feb 16, 2013 4:50 pm

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests