peeker643 wrote:Last time: The Indians feel Durbin makes them better...
Thank you, Peeker. That was...very helpful.
I think I got it. The Indians know more than we do. They feel
Durbin makes them better. When he screws up they'll give somebody else a chance. Move along, nothing to talk about here.
I'll try one last time to see if somebody else can shed any light on this.
1. Frank Herrmann, 2010, Cleveland Indians. Minor league numbers not included.
Herrmann's BAA/OPS in 2010 against right-handed hitters: .241/.629
Against lefties: .310/.920
Same splits for
Durbin: .195/.604 (right-handers); .324/.936 (lefties).
I'm not seeing much difference between these two pitchers, except that Herrmann is seven years younger, a lot cheaper, and throws 97 mph, which means he probably has a bigger upside, especially since he only has two years experience as a relief pitcher.
Herrmann is not exactly a "kid". He's 26 and pitched 44 innings in the majors last year. Why would the Tribe prefer
Durbin to Herrmann, especially considering the extra money involved?
2. Justin Germano, 2010 Cleveland Indians. No minor league stats.
Against right-handers: .200/.716. Against lefties: .213/.606. Overall: .206 BAA. Unlike
Durbin and Herrmann, Germano was effective against both righties and lefties. He's no kid; 28 years old with prior ML experience as a member of the Padres starting rotation for a couple of years.
Going into his last appearance of the season Germano had a 2.16 ERA. He got beat up in his last game and ended up at 3.31, very similar to
Durbin's ERA without the advantage of pitching in the National League. Did I mention he's five years younger and also cheaper? And unlike
Durbin you can bring him in even if three lefties are due up?
Can anyone explain why
Durbin would be a better choice than a guy who's younger, cheaper, and can get both righties and lefties out?
3. Vinnie Pestano.
Unlike Germano, Pestano has little major league experience, so he's a projection. However, in 43 games at Columbus last year his ERA was 1.55. That's not a typo, it was 1.55. He was brought up to Cleveland for a cup of coffee and struck out 8 major league hitters in 5 innings. Small sample size to be sure, but enough to show he can miss some bats up here. He's no kid either at age 26.
I'm assuming the addition of
Durbin means one of these guys won't make the team unless
Durbin tanks, which there's no evidence that he'll do. Obviously the Indians think
Durbin is better than at least one of these guys right now, but looking long term, why would you pay
Durbin over a half million dollars more than what these guys will get?
I don't understand this move. I'm just wondering if anyone has any thoughts beyond, "They have more information and they know what they're doing."