Anyone else think that by winning the coin toss that the Browns may have actually lost? Bear with me for a second. I was going to write an article about this, but the Browns is not really my AoR.
By winning the third pick, the Browns merely won the right to draft Adrian Peterson earlier and sign him for more money. Had the Browns lost the toss, they could have drafted Peterson 4th (everyone knows that the Bucs want Johnson) and signed him for considerably less.
What winning the toss did for the Browns, I guess was give them an outside shot at Joe Thomas should he fall past Detroit, but that scenario is not likely.
IMO the only way the Browns actually will gain anything for winning that toss is if they trade down to one of the many teams that covet Johnson. Johnson's combine was EXEPTIONAL. He ran a 4.35 in BORROWED shoes and his pro day is only going to be better and his stock is really aided by very positive personal interviews. These interviews have become increasingly important considering all the recent problems (particularly with WRs).
Furthermore, CJ is head and shoulders above his competition. Name the #2 receiver? I dare you.... if you ask 10 analysts you will get 5 different answers, but CJs spot at #1 is unanimous.
Trading down and possibly foregoing Adrian Peterson would allow the Browns to gain a significant number of picks this year and to a team as devoid of talent as the Browns are, that is significant. Peterson and his big play ability may give the Browns a chance to compete more immediately, but in the end, the added value from a couple of acquired draft picks will probably help more.
How much do you think they could get if they moved down 5-10 places? I would say at least an extra second round pick and one or two others. Right now, with as many holes as the Browns have to fill, this could be huge.
If the Browns traded down 5-10 places, they could still probably get Marshawn Lynch and with the acquired second they could get Justin Blalock (OG) or fill another position of need. Personally I think the Browns would be better off with Blalock and Lynch than Peterson.
Furls